Nomura: Rising labor cost may affect flow of FDI

0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, January 28, 2011
Adjust font size:

China's fast rising labor costs are likely to affect the flow of foreign direct investment (FDI) and will make the country's labor-intensive manufacturing industry face more intense competition from other Asian economies, Nomura Securities said in a report.

"For some labor-intensive manufacturers, China's wage level is no longer attractive. The manufacturing factories will likely be moved to China's inland provinces or to countries such as Vietnam, Thailand and Indonesia where labor costs are much lower," Nomura Securities said.

Nomura expected the pace of China's wage increase to exceed the Association of Southeast Asian Nations in the mid-term, which will change the pattern of foreign direct investment in Asia.

Despite the significant wage increases, China's manufacturing sector has continued to attract FDI inflows over the past several years. In fact, FDI in the manufacturing sector still accounts half of the total FDI in the country, Nomura Securities said.

But economists warned that such trend may start to shift as China gradually loses the advantages of its cheap work force given the expectation of further wage increases and the yuan's appreciation.

Local governments in China have announced plans to raise the standard minimum wage, with Beijing and Jiangsu province raising it by 21 percent and 18.8 percent respectively, this year.

The central government also said in its 12th Five-Year Plan (2011-2015) that it will significantly raise the percentage of wages in the national household income in order to raise the proportion of consumption in the overall economy.

According to Robert Subbaraman, chief Asia economist for Nomura Securities, China should quicken its pace of economic restructuring by boosting consumption and reduce its reliance on investment. Currently, investment is close to half of the country's GDP.

"We are happy to see that China's consumption is picking up, and it should be a key driver for growth in the following years," said Subbaraman. "However, consumption-led growth will probably increase China's inflationary pressure."

"As the factors driving up inflation this time are more broad-based and the pressure for wage growth is building because of labor shortages, we believe China's inflation will stand at 4.5 percent this year and grow to 5 percent next year," said Subbaraman.

China's consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, rose to a 28-month high of 5.1 percent in November. The growth was mainly driven by an 11.7 percent surge in food prices, which accounts for one-third of the basket of goods used to calculate the country's CPI. The December CPI rate dropped to 4.6 percent, with food prices rising 9.6 percent, government data showed.

Lu Zhengwei, senior economist at Industrial Bank Co, forecast that CPI would accelerate to 5.3 percent this month, outpacing November's figure.

"To curb inflation, the government needs to improve the Total Factor Productivity by boosting the efficiency of labor and capital, besides employing tightening monetary policies," said Subbaraman.

Nomura expects China's GDP growth to reach 9.8 percent this year and slow slightly to 9.5 percent in 2012.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 狠狠色丁香婷婷综合久久片| 蜜桃av噜噜一区二区三区| 天天摸天天做天天爽水多| 久久aa毛片免费播放嗯啊 | 国产精品成在线观看| WWW国产成人免费观看视频| 很污很黄能把下面看湿的文字| 国产亚洲蜜芽精品久久| 巨胸狂喷奶水视频www网站免费| 在线视频一区二区三区| 一区二区三区高清在线| 无套内射无矿码免费看黄| 久久大香伊蕉在人线观看热2| 欧美一级va在线视频免费播放| 亚洲欧美卡通另类| 激情小说亚洲图片| 免费能直接在线观看黄的视频 | 国产成人亚洲午夜电影| 豆奶视频最新官网| 国产精品视频在| 99久re热视频这里只有精品6| 女的张开腿让男人桶爽30分钟| 中国大白屁股ass| 撞击老妇肉体之乱小说| 久久亚洲精品无码AV红樱桃| 日韩精品在线观看视频| 亚洲av专区无码观看精品天堂| 欧美人欧美人与动人物性行为| 亚洲成在人线电影天堂色| 深夜爽爽福利gif在线观看| 伊人久久综合影院| 男生和女生一起差差在线观看| 公和我做好爽添厨房| 精品无码中文视频在线观看| 吃奶摸下激烈视频无遮挡| 老司机亚洲精品| 四虎影永久在线高清免费| 老司机精品导航| 四虎永久网址在线观看| 老少交欧美另类| 向日葵app在线观看下载大全视频|