1 in 4 Chinese 'aged above 65 by 2050'

0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, May 20, 2010
Adjust font size:

Nearly one out of every four people in the country will be older than 65 by the year 2050, demographers have forecast.

The country's population, currently 1.33 billion, will also not exceed 1.5 billion, Jiang Weiping, director-general of the China Population and Development Research Center, told a population forum on Wednesday.

The population will peak around the year 2040 at about 1.47 billion people before starting to decline, he said, citing a forecast from the center's population administration decision information system.

China's population will also make up 15 percent of the world's population, down from the longtime 20 percent and above, Jiang said.

The country's family planning policies have helped prevent 400 million births in the past three decades, according to statistics.

The country's current fertility rate is 1.8, which means every woman giving birth to 1.8 children. That rate is ideal, said Hania Zlotnik, director of the population division of the United Nations Secretariat.

A fertility rate lower than 1.5 or higher than 2.3 will be problematic, she said.

However, the aging trend is irreversible in China, as by 2050, 350 million out of the total 1.45 billion Chinese people will be aged over 65, Jiang said.

About 180 million people were older than 60 by last year, earlier population reports said.

China will see two peaks in its aging population - a net growth of 7 million annually between 2015-2020 and 10 million annually between 2030-2035.

"More families of old couples living by themselves, or a single elderly person living alone, will appear by then. The changes in family size, structure and living arrangement will impact many things, including consumption structure and the elder-age security system," Jiang said.

Aging has been regarded as a problem for many countries, as researchers worry it can lead to labor shortage, lower productivity and skyrocketing medical expenses, said Wu Cangping, a professor with Renmin University of China.

Still, China will not be short of workers. The labor supply will peak at 1 billion around 2015 and remain above 850 million before 2050, Jiang Weiping said.

Ma Li, a counselor to China's Cabinet on population issues, said on Tuesday that the country can still enjoy 25 more years of "demographic dividend".

The "demographic dividend" has been considered an important contributor to China's remarkable economic progress.

Over the past decades, China enjoyed a productive population age structure, with working-age people making up a large part of its population, and retired and pre-working-age people making up a relatively small fraction of it.

The productive population age structure, characterized by abundant labor and a high savings ratio, proved to be a dynamic source of economic growth for China and consequently took the country into a long "golden period" of economic and social development, analysts said.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲国产婷婷六月丁香| 再深点灬舒服灬太大了免费视频| 337p日本欧洲亚洲大胆精品555588 | 免费在线观看a视频| 羞羞答答www网址进入在线观看 | 三级免费黄色片| 无码视频一区二区三区| 久久精品国产99国产精品澳门| 欧美一级夜夜爽视频| 亚洲日韩AV无码一区二区三区人 | 国产欧美日韩在线播放| 3344永久在线观看视频免费首页| 国语精品高清在线观看| a级毛片免费全部播放| 女人被两根一起进3p在线观看| 一级毛片一级毛片一级级毛片 | 国产国产精品人在线视| 久久精品国产四虎| 国产粗话肉麻对白在线播放| 制服丝袜自拍偷拍| 国产精品无码MV在线观看| 69视频在线观看免费| 国产色婷婷精品综合在线| 91精品乱码一区二区三区| 国语做受对白xxxxx在线| 99久re热视频这里只有精品6| 大又大粗又爽又黄少妇毛片| ffee性xxⅹ另类老妇hd| 天天操天天射天天爽| jizz在线播放| 天天干天天射综合网| japanese日本护士xxxx18一19 | 亚洲av高清一区二区三区| 欧美三级在线播放| 亚洲中文字幕无码日韩| 欧美一级在线观看| 亚洲av最新在线观看网址| 最近中文字幕国语免费完整| 亚洲一二区视频| 最色网在线观看| 久久精品国产亚洲av忘忧草18|