Time for a new Bretton Woods

By Adlai E. Stevenson
0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, April 22, 2010
Adjust font size:

In the monetary system organized with US leadership at the end of World War II, currencies were linked to the US dollar, which was linked to gold. The US accounted for over half the world's output of goods and services. By the mid 1950s, all East Asia accounted for only about 4 percent of global output. China's economic reforms began only 30 years ago. By then, the US dollar had begun its decline. Its official convertibility to gold at $35 was suspended in 1971. Today gold is priced in the market at over $1,100, and China's foreign exchange reserves exceed $2.4 trillion.

As the dollar declined over time, US trade deficits increased, challenging economic orthodoxy. Today US debt levels, fiscal deficits and entitlements have climbed to unsustainable levels, leaving the US increasingly dependent on China for credit.

China is under pressure to reduce its trade surplus by revaluing the renminbi - but China is understandably concerned about protecting its investments from a further decline of the dollar. It will appreciate the renminbi in its own good time, as it diversifies its investments and internationalizes its currency. A stronger renminbi would help contain inflation. It would foster domestic consumption and reduce the cost of imports.

But many of China's imports are commodities and components which fuel its exports. A stronger renminbi would facilitate China's foreign direct investments and enhance its economic competitiveness, again challenging western orthodoxy. The US ran trade surpluses with a strong dollar. Floating the renminbi while liberalizing capital controls is no quick fix for the world's monetary instability.

Meanwhile Europe is struggling to contain fallout from Greece's fiscal profligacy, while the US struggles to regulate the bailed-out banking industry which triggered the financial crisis, as debt continues to mount.

The US dollar no longer meets the tests of a reserve currency. It is ubiquitous but not a reliable store of value. In brief, the world has outstretched its capacity for financial governance and monetary stability though the IMF has become more realistic since inflicting its conditions on East Asians during the financial crisis of 1997.

East Asia should become a source of global monetary stability by exercising responsibility commensurate with its control of some 70 percent of the world's foreign reserves.

Japan proposed an East Asian monetary regime in 1997 to defend against currency speculation, extend credit to the afflicted, stabilize exchange rates and develop a regional financial market and Asian currency unit. The Chiang Mai initiative for currency swaps was a modest beginning. Free trade agreements in East Asia are moving forward. The China-ASEAN free trade agreement is a reality.

But there has been little movement on the regional monetary front. The region remains underrepresented in the world's financial institutions. China does not even have a seat on the IMF board. President Obama's recent state of the union address was revealing. It ignored the world as if the state of the union was severable - or the union was in retreat.

1   2   Next  


Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 3d动漫精品一区二区三区| 免费中文字幕乱码电影麻豆网| 91老师国产黑色丝袜在线| 日韩免费视频播播| 人妻互换一二三区激情视频| 麻豆传煤入口麻豆公司传媒| 国产精品成人免费视频电影| 两个人看的视频高清在线www| 日韩国产欧美成人一区二区影院 | 亚洲精品成人网站在线观看| 野花视频在线官网免费1| 在线精品免费视频无码的| 一本加勒比HEZYO无码专区| 日韩高清伦理片中字在线观看| 亚洲欧美日韩电影| 特级无码毛片免费视频| 国产一区二区精品久久| 18禁成人网站免费观看 | 亚洲色欲色欲综合网站| 蜜桃成熟时仙子| 国产精品第7页| 一级性生活免费| 日韩欧美国产电影| 亚洲精品国产电影午夜| 男女肉粗暴进来动态图| 国产成人精选免费视频| 手机在线视频你懂的| 国产视频第二页| 三年片免费高清版| 旧番拯救精灵森林第四集| 亚洲乱色伦图片区小说| 男人j进美女p动态图片| 国产一级又色又爽又黄大片| 香港黄色碟片黄色碟片| 国产精品自在线拍国产手机版 | 337p中国人体啪啪| 国产综合亚洲欧美日韩一区二区| 一区二区视频在线观看| 日韩在线永久免费播放| 五月婷婷丁香六月| 欧洲一区二区三区在线观看|