Asia-Pacific will pay a high price for Diaoyu Islands

By Catherine Wood
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, September 21, 2012
Adjust font size:

Xi Jinping, future leader of China's Communist Party, commented on China's response to Japan's recent purchase of the Diaoyu islands. Xi stated that the purchase of these islands is "a farce" and urged Tokyo to "rein in its behavior." Tokyo, on the other hand, maintains that Japan has settled this dispute by purchasing the islands from a private Japanese owner for just over US$26 million. Yet it seems this so-called purchase will cost all of the Asia-Pacific much more than that before the issue gets resolved.

Wild card [By Zhai Haijun/China.org.cn]

The Chinese backlash to this dispute is apparent in numerous ways, but what exactly are the islands ultimately worth to both governments? For better or worse, China and Japan, Asia's first and second largest economies respectively, are dependent on one another to maintain economic growth and stability. China purchased 20 percent of all Japanese exports in 2011, and the 2012 year-to-date figures show that China has purchased a noteworthy US$73.54 billion worth of Japanese exports. However, Chinese boycotts are beginning to hurt Japanese exports and as a result of the island purchase, further export purchases are expected to continue on a downward trend for the remainder of the year.

Analysts suggest that there will be noticeable declines in trade between the two Asian leaders over the next six months. The effects of this trend are already being felt by Japanese companies who export goods to China. China is home to a massive consumer group for Japanese electronics and is presently the world's largest market for automobiles [another leading Japanese export.] Retail stores are reporting a sudden decline in Japanese electronic brands and year on year reports show a 2 percent decrease in the purchase of Japanese automobiles across China. To juxtapose this Japanese automobile downfall, imports from other auto producing nations have significantly increased: 25 percent comes in from Germany, 19 percent from the US, 12 percent from South Korea, and 4 percent from France. Being outsold on the Chinese market is a big problem for the Japanese automobile industry.

This is not, however, a single-sided issue and it is important to note that in the first half of this year, Japan purchased US$91.29 billion in exports from China. In light of the recent economic slowdown in the European Union and the United States - China's first and second largest consumer markets respectively - China has been forced to reexamine its manufacturing sector and adjust national growth goals accordingly. Goldman Sachs has lowered their estimation for China's yearly growth from 8.0 percent down to 7.6 percent and reports suggest that this trend will continue to stunt growth well into 2013. Furthermore, People's Bank of China, China's central bank, has decreased its required reserves and lowered interest rates already two times this year, marking the first interest rate decrease since 2008. Combined with yet another economic stimulus from Beijing, these initiatives have produced sub-satisfactory results and initiated a new concern: inflation. China needs export markets to revamp growth and reverse these ongoing trends.

Japan was one of the first, and remains, one of the largest foreign direct investors in China. It is exactly because of this, that a great deal of Chinese jobs and government tax revenues depend on continued Japanese trade relations. In the long term, disputes like this will slow down progress, not only for China and Japan, but for all of Asia and potentially the rest of the world. Both of these economies are codependent for sustained growth and with declining exports to both the EU and the United States, this island disagreement could spell disaster for both countries.

So how much are these islands really worth?

The islands are of intrinsic value because of their proximity to both countries. The administration of the islands would be entitled to all mineral resources, fishing locations, and control of the navigable waterways. Some industrial advances could be expected as the islands are developed, but at the end of the day, there isn't anything really special about them. The simple economic truth is that these islands are worth much less than the 40-year-old normalization of trade between China and Japan. Last year marked a 15 percent growth in trade which eventually capped out at US$344.9 billion. With this in mind, both countries are risking that profitable relationship over islands which were just purchased for UD$26 million. This adds a new perspective.

The reality of the situation is that both countries stand to gain less from ownership of those islands than they do from trade with each other. Look at the numbers, consider the facts, and you will see that the islands aren't worth the strained relationship.

The author is a freelance writer currently based in Beijing.

Opinion articles reflect the views of their authors, not necessarily those of China.org.cn

 

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 狠狠爱天天综合色欲网| 久久无码人妻一区二区三区午夜| 美村妇真湿夹得我好爽| 国产无av码在线观看| 91成人在线免费视频| 好男人神马视频在线观看| 久久中文精品无码中文字幕| 最新69成人精品毛片| 亚洲成av人片不卡无码| 热99re久久精品香蕉| 免费高清av一区二区三区| 老子午夜精品无码| 国产凌凌漆国语| 国产1000部成人免费视频| 国产精品亚洲片在线| 91精品视频播放| 在线视频这里只有精品| yy6080午夜一级毛片超清| 成人麻豆日韩在无码视频| 久久久噜噜噜久久中文字幕色伊伊 | 一级特黄性色生活片| 无需付费看视频网站入口| 久久天堂成人影院| 晚上看b站直播软件| 亚洲人成色77777在线观看| 欧美激情中文字幕| 亚洲第一页在线视频| 激情小说在线视频| 免费va在线观看| 精品久久久久久久中文字幕| 和前辈夫妇交换性3中文字幕| 色噜噜狠狠成人中文综合| 国产乱子伦在线观看不卡| 韩国v欧美v亚洲v日本v| 国产在线无码制服丝袜无码| 国产精品大片天天看片| 国产激情电影综合在线看| 456亚洲视频| 国产精品久久久久9999| youjizz亚洲| 国产精品久久久久久久久久久不卡|