Brexit D-Day looms for British parliament

By Robert Griffiths
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, August 22, 2019
Adjust font size:
Anti-Brexit protesters demonstrate with flags outside the House of Parliament on March 11, 2019 in London. [Photo/VCG]

The stage is set for a decisive showdown when Britain's Westminster parliament reconvenes on September 3.

New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has vowed, come-what-may, to take the U.K. out of the European Union on October 31 at expiry of the extension agreed by the EU and in accordance with current British legislation. This, it should be noted, is the fourth such Brexit Day deadline.

Elected in July to lead the country on an uncompromising pro-Brexit platform, Johnson has made clear his willingness to leave the EU without any kind of exit deal if necessary.

He could seek fresh negotiations with the EU to amend his predecessor Theresa May's failed Withdrawal Agreement in an effort to make it acceptable to the House of Commons, but neither side seems willing to compromise. 

Deleting the so-called "Irish backstop" that could, in the absence of a trade agreement, subordinate Northern Ireland, and, by extension, the rest of the U.K., to EU Single Market rules ad infinitum would win over recalcitrant pro-Brexit Tory and Ulster unionist MPs, while going too far for less hardline Tories. At the time of writing that is exactly what Johnson is seeking.

However, the EU has been insisting the draft Withdrawal Agreement cannot be renegotiated, even though it has never been ratified and one of the two negotiating sides is now different in complexion. 

Many anti-Brexit politicians in Britain, Ireland and the EU claim that the backstop guarantees that never again will be there a "hard border" splitting the island, whatever happens in regard to trading arrangements.

Undoubtedly, a border with customs and security posts would provide a focus for Irish republican "terrorism," re-igniting the violence of the "Troubles" largely laid to rest by the 1998 Good Friday Agreement, and there are already signs this is happening. 

However, the London, Belfast and Dublin governments have all sworn never to resurrect any such "hard border." Section 10 of Britain's 2018 EU (Withdrawal) Act outlaws the construction of a border infrastructure by any U.K. authority in the future.

Yet, pro-backstop politicians and EU Commission chief spokesperson Margaritis Schinas insist a no-deal Brexit makes a hard border inevitable. Against this, a report commissioned by the European parliament's constitutional affairs committee, entitled Smart Border 2.0 (2017), argues modern techniques and technology make a no-friction border eminently achievable.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel (L) talks with visiting British Prime Minister Boris Johnson in Berlin, Germany, on Aug. 21, 2019. Angela Merkel and Boris Johnson on Wednesday reiterated the Brexit with a deal, but were different in approaches. [Photo/Xinhua]

It is also possible the EU might agree to amend the joint Political Declaration that accompanies the Withdrawal Agreement, diluting the commitment to a "backstop" or making it subject to further post-Brexit negotiations. 

This would enable Johnson to present a revamped withdrawal package to the House of Commons, where enough MPs might be stampeded by their fear of a no-deal Brexit to approve it.

Alternatively, the government could fall back on the default position already enshrined in British law, namely, automatic exit from the EU on October 31. However, many MPs, including some Tories ready to align themselves with opposition parties, could use procedural maneuvers to stop this happening.

Assisted by the pro-EU Speaker of the Commons John Bercow, they could repeat their success of March, seize control of the parliamentary agenda and rush through legislation to cancel Brexit or approach the EU for another postponement.

The Labor Opposition seems likely to table a vote of "No Confidence" in the Tory government. This would trigger a 14-day period during which anti-Brexit MPs could try to form a so-called "government of national unity" with a view to canceling or delaying Brexit and calling a general election or a second EU referendum. 

Britain's Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn attends a rally at the Parliament Square, calling for a general election, in London, Britain, on July 25, 2019. [Photo/Xinhua]

This, however, is problematic, as many anti-Brexit MPs are deeply divided over whether Labor leader Jeremy Corbyn should take over as Prime Minister: his left-wing, anti-imperialist and anti-EU history putting him "beyond the pale" for many.

On the other hand, a good few Labor MPs understand that backing a non-Labor Prime Minister could prove suicidal, being extremely unpopular among Party activists and supporters.

Then again, Johnson could himself try to call an early election under the Fixed Term Parliament Act. A polling date before October 31 would enable him to go to the electorate as the democrat and patriot who intends to deliver Brexit.

Alternatively, he could try to set a polling day for November, which would mean suspending (or "proroguing") parliament for a period, preventing MPs from blocking Brexit. He could even try proroguing parliament without calling an election.   

However, pro-EU Tories such as former Prime Minister John Major are threatening to challenge any prorogation in the Supreme Court, backed by wealthy litigants who have already shown their readiness to take legal action to delay or block Brexit.

The anti-Brexit forces will claim to be defending "parliamentary sovereignty," while many Brexit supporters see prorogation as a necessary tactic to uphold the sovereignty of the people as expressed in the 2016 EU referendum vote to leave the EU.

In any event, time is running out for all the options but the default one of leaving the EU at midnight on October 31. Belated preparations are being made to limit the economic disruption resulting from a no-deal exit.

Robert Griffiths is a former Senior Lecturer in Political Economy and History at the University of Wales and currently the General Secretary of the Communist Party of Britain.

Opinion articles reflect the views of their authors only, not necessarily those of China.org.cn.

If you would like to contribute, please contact us at opinion@china.org.cn.

Follow China.org.cn on Twitter and Facebook to join the conversation.
ChinaNews App Download
Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲第一黄网站| 日本欧美一区二区三区在线播放| 国产精品久久久久久久久久免费 | 日本在线高清版卡免v| 人成电影网在线观看免费| 黑人巨大战冲田杏梨| 女人说疼男人就越往里| 久久综合九色欧美综合狠狠| 欧美日韩国产一区二区三区欧| 国产91热爆ts人妖在线| 91香蕉视频污污| 国产精品女在线观看| 996热在线视频| 天天干天天操天天干| 久久国产亚洲欧美日韩精品| 热re99久久精品国产99热| 国产国语一级毛片| 亚洲综合色7777情网站777| 女人被两根一起进3p在线观看| 中文字幕在线观看免费| 欧美伊香蕉久久综合类网站| 亚洲精品乱码久久久久久按摩| 直播视频区国产| 最新69堂国产成人精品视频| 亚洲精品国产v片在线观看| 福利视频免费看| 国产成人无码综合亚洲日韩| 在线免费视频你懂的| 国产高清在线看| 99久久精品日本一区二区免费 | 第一区免费在线观看| 午夜丰满少妇性开放视频| 97国产在线视频公开免费 | 久久人人爽人人爽人人片av不| 日韩欧美高清在线观看| 亚洲色婷婷一区二区三区| 色聚网久久综合| 国产在线a免费观看| 麻豆第一区MV免费观看网站| 国产精品美女久久久久AV福利 | 亚洲欧美日韩网站|