China's economic recovery helps fuel region's resurgence

0 CommentsPrint E-mail Xinhua, November 4, 2009
Adjust font size:

The economic rebound in East Asia and the Pacific has been surprisingly swift and very welcome, but taking China out of the equation, the regional picture is less rosy, according to a World Bank report released on Tuesday.

The latest East Asia and Pacific Update, titled Transforming the Rebound into Recovery, says large and timely fiscal stimulus spending in most East Asian and Pacific countries -- led by China and South Korea -- along with a powerful process of inventory restocking now underway, have driven the rebound in the region and contributed significantly to confidence in a global pick-up.

Developments in the East Asia & Pacific region remain strongly influenced by China, where the projected increase in GDP (Gross Domestic Product) in 2009 will offset three quarters of the decline in the GDPs of the U.S., the Eurozone and Japan.

But despite Indonesia and Vietnam performing well, developing East Asia excluding China is projected to grow at around 1 percent in 2009 -- more slowly than South Asia and the Middle East and North Africa, and only slightly stronger than Sub-Saharan Africa.

Some countries remain especially hard hit -- GDP is contracting in Cambodia, Malaysia and Thailand and is barely growing in Mongolia and some of the Pacific Islands, the report says.

As enterprises, both formal and informal, adjusted to weaker demand earlier in the year, workers across the region have been impacted in different ways.

Enterprises cut workers' hours, eliminated extra shifts, let temporary or contract workers go, or lowered wages -- but some of these measures are now being reversed, according to the World Bank's half-yearly assessment of the economic health of the East Asia and Pacific region.

Relatively few full-time employees have been laid off as companies have tried to limit recruitment and training costs when demand picks up. Workers who have been let go have typically found jobs in services and agriculture, often in the informal sector at lower pay and in more challenging working conditions.

In some countries, fiscal stimulus packages have supported the creation of temporary public employment.

The report estimates that 14 million people who would have emerged from 2-dollar-a-day poverty if the region's economies had kept growing at pre-crisis levels, will remain in poverty in 2010.

However, with projected growth of 8.4 percent in China this year and the countr's domestic demand racing ahead of global demand, countries exporting consumer durables, electronic components and raw materials to China have felt the positive flow-on effects. As a result, the World Bank is projecting growth of 6.7 percent in 2009 for developing East Asia and the Pacific and 7.8 percent next year.

As officials, ministers and heads of state from the 21 member countries of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum head to Singapore later this week, the World Bank's chief economist for the East Asia and Pacific region, Vikram Nehru, warned that risks to a sustainable recovery remain.

"Some governments in the region will have the fiscal space to sustain fiscal stimulus until recovery is on a firmer footing," he said. "The time to begin removing monetary accommodation may come earlier however, especially given concerns about asset price bubbles."

He said looking beyond 2009, countries in the region can still grow rapidly even if growth in the advanced economies is slow. To take advantage of the growth potential ahead, countries need to resist protectionism, remain open and become more, not less integrated with the regional and global economies.

"Moving up the value-added chain in global and regional production networks should lead to further productivity gains and strong growth, and allow for new technologies and innovation to spread more widely through the region's economies," Nehru said.

The report's lead author Ivailo Izvorski said the crisis has helped governments realize that more growth can be extracted from domestic demand if incentives that have limited expansion in private consumption and services are tackled.

"Rebalancing growth need not be presented as a choice between relying on global markets or on domestic markets," Izvorski said.

"It can be about extracting more growth from domestic demand as a complement to increasing integration within the region and the global economy. Facilitating the development of the service sector, addressing infrastructure bottlenecks, and boosting the quality of education need to be accompanied by developing better targeted and better funded social protection systems," he said.

"Together with education and health, improved social protection systems will help reduce precautionary saving, promote domestic cohesion at a time of rapid regional and global integration, and enable countries to reap the full benefits from agglomeration economies, all of which are key to long-term economic success," he added.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • Your Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Comments are moderated and generally will be posted if they are on-topic and not abusive.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲天堂福利视频| 可以看的黄色软件| 59pao成国产成视频永久免费| 少妇人妻av无码专区| 国产xxxx视频在线观看| 欧美老少配xxxxx| 国产精品天天在线| 99久久精品这里只有精品| 少妇大战黑吊在线观看| 中文字幕日韩人妻不卡一区| 日韩电影免费在线| 亚洲人成亚洲人成在线观看| 欧美牲交a欧美牲交aⅴ免费下载 | 我的娇妻acome| 亚洲欧美在线观看首页| 男生和女生打扑克差差差app| 四虎影视免费永久在线观看| 野花香高清在线观看视频播放免费 | 久草新在线观看| 欧美一级日韩一级| 亚洲国产成人精品女人久久久| 欧美视频在线观看网站| 亚洲网址在线观看| 男人扒开女人下身添免费 | 亚洲欧美日韩国产综合五月天| 狂野黑人性猛交xxxxxx| 国产午夜影视大全免费观看 | 把女人的嗷嗷嗷叫视频软件| 久久久无码精品亚洲日韩蜜臀浪潮| 欧美精品v国产精品v| 亚洲综合日韩在线亚洲欧美专区| 男人的j桶女人的j视频| 免费看午夜影豆网| 精品人妻AV区波多野结衣| 又湿又紧又大又爽a视频| 美女和男人免费网站视频| 囯产精品一品二区三区| 色偷偷888欧美精品久久久 | GOGOGO免费高清在线中国| 天天操天天干天天| avaaddamshdxxx|